By Norbert
Ralph, PhD, MPH
For
juveniles who sexually offended (JwSO), sexual recidivism is identified as one
of the primary outcome measures. Reitzel and Carbonell (2006) titled their
meta-analysis of treatment programs "The Effectiveness of Sexual Offender
Treatment for Juveniles as Measured by Recidivism." Methodologically and
clinically using this measure has virtues but also limitations. With sexual
recidivism rates in some researchers estimated to be about 5% (Lussier et al.,
2023) it would be difficult to obtain samples large enough to detect a
treatment effect. Also would a reduction from 5% to even 0% be significant
enough in terms of real-world impacts and cost/benefit considerations?
Other
outcomes have been used. Nonsexual recidivism has been identified as another
benchmark to assess treatment outcomes. Lussier et al. (2023) identified
general recidivism for this population as 44% and Caldwell (2016) as 27% in
meta-analytic studies. General recidivism has been a focus of study, and for
example, Abei et al. (2022) carried out a study of high-risk JwSO youth to
compare the efficacy of sexual offense-oriented therapy and social skills
training in the prevention of both sexual and general recidivism. Further, the
Multisystemic Therapy group used out-of-home placements, among other measures
(Borduin & Munschy, 2021).
Another
benchmark for juveniles who sexually offended is examining problematic sexual
behaviors (PSB) that may not result in arrests or formal recidivism. Viljoen et
al. (2007) reported a rate of such behaviors in a residential treatment program
with 169 JwSO youth of 16.6% and an average JSORRAT-II score of 6.1. Ralph
(2015) in a study of another residential treatment program with 129 JwSO youth
reported a rate of PSB of 20.6% and an average JSORRAT-II score of 6.3. The
average JSORRAT-II scores (6.1 and 6.3 respectively) of the samples indicated
that both groups above the average risk levels (Epperson, 2019). In the latter
study (Ralph, 2015), any sexual behavior that violated the rules of the setting
was classified as misbehavior. Notably none of these behaviors resulted in
charges, even though some were serious enough to be charged. Presumably, this
was considered not necessary because these youth were already on probation for
such offenses and were in court-ordered treatment. For context is important to note
findings such as Ybarra & Mitchell (2013) which identified nearly 1 in 10
youths (9%) reported some type of sexual violence perpetration in their
lifetime.
Another
example including PSB is in Letourneau et al. (2009), which reported an outcome
study regarding Multisystemic Therapy (MST) using the Adolescent Sexual
Behavior Inventory (Friedrich, Lysne, Sims, & Shamos, 2004) and its Sexual
Risk/Misuse subscale. Because of the nature of the scale, specific PSBs weren't
possible to separate out, such as coercing others to have sex. Abei et al.
(2022) in the study mentioned previously, classified as sexual recidivism not
only formal charges but also PSB that may have resulted in a formal charge but
did not. However, the rate of such PSB separate from charged offenses was not
separately described.
The
above information has several implications regarding assessment and treatment
for these youth. One is the recommendation that such behaviors be included in
outcome studies assessing treatment effectiveness and also for individual
programs as part of their quality assurance procedures. These behaviors are
important to address since they may have victims too and likely increase the
risk of future such behaviors. Once identified, these behaviors are more likely
to become an explicit focus of treatment. Notably, the Abei et al. (2022) study
has already included PSB. Also, PSB may be tracked systematically in future MST
studies
There
is another consideration. It might be possible to develop risk measures to
assess for PSB that do not result in formal charges. For example, in the study
by Ralph (2015) youth examining PSB, who had a male victim and previous mental
health treatment had an AUC (Area Under the Curve) of .74. Practically,
developing risk measures to assess for PSB might be more possible than
developing measures to assess sexual recidivism alone, given the low sexual
recidivism rates. Clinically, such measures would be useful to assess the risk
of a given youth for sexual acting out at the beginning of treatment,
particularly for high-risk youth, so that treatment methods and the amount of
treatment could adequately be planned.
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